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Vs. Justice, Round 1
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Verisign
Prepares Hot IPO
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Still
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Netscape
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Attractive
Offering Holds Major Risks
VeriSign
Prepares Hot IPO
By Jeffrey L. Newman
ABCNEWS.com from TheStreet.com
N E W Y
O R K, Dec. 1 —
The Wall Street debut of Internet company VeriSign is shaping up as one
of this quarter's hottest public offerings. The high-tech concern boasts
a string of big-name investors and an impressive array of strategic
partners.
VeriSign grew
its revenue—and losses—during the first nine months of this
year. Compared with the year-ago period, revenue grew at a
faster rate than losses. (ABCNEWS.com) |
Based in Mountain View, Calif., two-year-old
VeriSign helps companies conduct commerce over the Internet with
something called digital certificates. These handy electronic
"keys" allow online merchants to verify a customer's identity
and conduct secure transactions with them.
VeriSign expects to go public within the month
on Nasdaq under the symbol VRSN. The lead underwriter is Morgan Stanley
Dean Witter, with support from Hambrecht & Quist and Wessels Arnold
& Henderson.
”It's going to be one of the hot ones,”
says IPO Monitor analyst Tom Taulli. “VeriSign has taken a very strong
lead in its industry.”
E-Shopping
Growth Bodes Well
Boosting that strength are strategic alliances
with Cisco, McAfee Associates, Microsoft, Netscape,
RSA, Security Dynamics, Verifone and Visa.
With the increased emergence of retail sites on
the Internet—Music Boulevard, E-Trade and Amazon.com, to name a
few—the need for more security of credit card information and e-cash
transactions will grow. VeriSign stands poised to capture much of that
market.
“The issue of securing transactions over the
Internet is growing,” Taulli says. “People need to be able to trust
that their transactions are safe and that the person on the other end is
who they say they are. VeriSign will make money on how big this market
gets.”
Big-Name
Believers
VeriSign's list of investors is impressive and includes Intel, Microsoft,
Visa and high-tech investment titan Kleiner Perkins Caufield &
Byers, which owns an 8 percent stake.
| Key
Shareholders |
| NAME |
SHARES |
| James
Bidzos, CEO |
4.7
million
28.4% |
| Kevin
Compton, Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers |
1.3
million
7.9% |
| David
Cowan, Bessemer Venture Partners |
1.3
million
7.8% |
| William
Chenevich, Visa International |
997,000
6% |
| Intel |
994,000
6% |
| VeriFone
(owned by Hewlett-Packard) |
250,000
1.5% |
| Microsoft |
100,000
1%* |
| *Microsoft
also holds 812,500 of Series C Preferred Stock |
In addition, Hewlett-Packard subsidiary
Verifone was given 250,000 shares, or 6 percent of the firm, as a
settlement over alleged trademark infringement. VeriSign took a $2
million charge in the year's first nine months to cover this.
Microsoft, which had purchased 812,500 shares
of its secondary stock a year ago (it will be converted into common
stock after the IPO), grabbed 100,000 shares of common stock last month
in exchange for featuring VeriSign as the preferred provider of digital
certificates for Microsoft customers.
Immature
Industry Presents Risks
But while it sounds impressive, VeriSign comes
with some risks, notably its lack of new or seasoned technology. The
company is committing itself to technology that may or may not stand the
test of time. Its game plan is to establish itself quickly, gain a
dominant position and hope the industry doesn't change too much.
Furthermore, despite the big-name investors,
analyst Mark Brown of Market Analytics says VeriSign is fundamentally
not a strong company.
“It doesn't have any technology that is
unique. It's not bringing anything special to the market,” Brown says.
There's also potential competition from much larger and financially
stronger firms.
VeriSign's primary competitors are Entrust
Technologies, GTE CyberTrust Solutions and IBM. It also faces
additional competition from a handful of smaller companies.
Several of VeriSign's current and potential
competitors have longer operating histories and significantly greater
financial, technical, marketing and other resources, as well as broader
and more established distribution channels that may be used to compete
head on with the company.
Analyst:
Expect a Takeover
The good news for VeriSign is that none of its
competitors are actively pursuing this market. Many industry watchers
maintain the other firms are taking a wait-and-see approach because they
calculate it's premature and not worth the risk.
“As soon as major companies see there is a
lot of money to be made here, they'll jump in. A company like IBM has
the money to enter the market at any time and dominate it,” Brown
says. “As soon as these others enter the market, VeriSign will likely
be acquired. They won't be an independent publicly held company for more
than five years.”
Meanwhile, the company is looking to
international markets to help increase revenues. Last year, it launched
VeriSign Japan, in which it owns a 51 percent stake. In the first nine
months of 1997, this division accounted for 15 percent of revenues.
Expect a strong opening and much hype from
VeriSign's offering. But pay close attention as the market for
certificate authority matures. “They are putting together a dandy
operation,” says Brown, “and it should speak favorably for the
market place.”
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