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Stock Bargains

 

Tech Stocks Get Zapped

 

Microsoft Buying VExtreme

 

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The Car That Juices the House

 

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Attractive Offering Holds Major Risks
VeriSign Prepares Hot IPO

By Jeffrey L. Newman
ABCNEWS.com from TheStreet.com

Nov. 25 — Netscape Communications Corp., hoping to step out in front of competitor Microsoft and gain a much-needed piece of the corporate market, is nabbing privately held Kiva Software.
     Kiva fills a hole in Netscape's products by providing the computer programs large organizations can use to tap into the Internet and develop Intranets—internal networks.
     The stock deal, worth about $180 million, is Netscape's latest attempt to boost its business with big companies and secure a leading position as a provider of Internet-based networks and software.
     But $180 million for a small, relatively unknown company?
     "You could argue they over-paid, but I think the issue is time to market," says Marc Usem, an analyst with Salomon Brothers. "Netscape could have put its own engineers on the job to built its own application, but that would have taken a lot of time and probably wouldn't have been done as well. One of the toughest things is getting high quality engineers and management, which Kiva offers. And you can't buy good technology cheap today."

Kiva Skims High End Market
David Readerman, an Internet analyst with Nationsbanc Montgomery Securities, says most analysts who know of Kiva had expected the 2 1/2-year-old firm to go public, not sell out. But he says this deal was a smart move for both firms. "It's an interesting acquisition strategically for Netscape," he says.
     Kiva's products primarily target the high-end market and are used in commerce sites, such as E-Trade, Travelocity and CitySearch. Some of the 2,000 largest companies in the world use Kiva's products, which carry prices ranging from $25,000 to $35,000 per processor, many times the price of Netscape's existing products.
     Unix currently controls the market here, with both Microsoft and Netscape far behind. Although Microsoft is likely to jump into the fray, it is far behind the competition, giving Netscape an opportunity to gain a foothold ahead of its staunchest competitor.

But Will the Marriage Succeed?
But integrating Kiva's products with its own will not be a trivial task for Netscape. And, moreover, it raises the question of whether, over the near-term, Netscape's sales force will be able to handle selling two distinctly and fundamentally different products.
     "There's a risk of confusing Netscape's customers with a mixed bag of products that don't look or feel alike," says analyst Charles Finnie of Volpe Brown Whelan & Co. "It's also not clear that Netscape's current sales force can sell a complex product like application server software."

Will the Deal Anger Partners?
Adding further confusion is how this acquisition will play with Netscape's strategic partners, such as IBM, Sun Microsystems, Oracle or NetDynamics, which will be a direct competitor.
     Netscape missed an opportunity, says James Preissler, an analyst with Paine Webber. "If they could have leveraged off their relationship with partners and had a selling partner to sell the Netscape product, that would have been the way to go."
     Only time will tell the success or failure of this move. In the meantime, Netscape has said it expects the purchase to dilute its fourth quarter 1997 and first quarter 1998 earnings by a couple of cents per share.

 

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